The decision by the federal government to take over Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae has created some buzz in the local housing industry on how it could help stabilize the mortgage industry and ultimately stimulate sales.
Since the announcement, interest rates for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages have dropped, and the government’s actions are expected to make it easier for buyers to obtain a mortgage in the coming months.
“The lowering of interest rates is always a good thing to attract buyers,” says Tom McCormick, president of Astoria Homes. “I think people are awfully nervous about the economy and sensitive to the opportunities that are out there. It’s one of those deals that if you were considering buying a home, it will be hard not to look because I think this will be the best time people will ever see.”
The local housing market has been picking up, and this will make it even better, McCormick says.
New-home closings have remained weak with only one month so far this year in which there were more than 1,000 sales. The existing-home market has picked up considerably this year: In August sales were 93 percent greater than they were in August 2007, according to the Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors.
“If you look at the past six months, I think we are moving in the right direction,” McCormick says. “And I see nothing but good going forward. I think you are going to have much better interest rates and better affordability. The federal government can borrow at the cheapest rates of anybody.”
Before the takeover, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac had been government-sponsored enterprises that owned or guaranteed about half of all U.S. mortgages.
Monica Caruso, spokeswoman for the Southern Nevada Home Builders Association, says it’s unfortunate that it had reached the point where the government had to step in, but her industry sees some positives coming out of it.
“It is going to increase the liquidity in mortgage markets and going to restore confidence in the financial markets,” Caruso says. “I believe it is a step in the right direction for the continued recovery in the financial markets.”
That is important to homebuilders who are trying to maintain their financial arrangements with lenders and enable them to move forward with projects, Caruso says. Lending standards have tightened, which was necessary to restore confidence, but some of those standards will likely be loosened, she says.
“I believe it is going to reduce inventory (of existing homes) by making money available to legitimate buyers,” Caruso says.
She says she doesn’t expect new-home construction to pick up significantly in the next six months, not until the supply of resale homes is whittled further. According to the Realtors group, 22,710 existing homes were for sale at the end of August.
Much of the home construction is taking place because buyers want new homes instead of purchasing existing homes, Caruso says. But there is plenty of pent-up demand from aging Baby Boomers who want to upgrade, but can’t do so until they can sell their homes.
“That is one of the stumbling blocks we face,” Caruso says. “They are in our sales office, and hopefully everything that is going on will help that.”
Steve Bottfeld, executive vice president of Marketing Solutions, agreed the short-term benefits for the housing market could be positive with lower interest rates and increased confidence among lenders, but he has questions about the government’s ability to run the entities over the long run.
Bottfeld also says he is concerned that speculators will be bailed out, and that the nation’s debt will continue to increase.
“The problem we have with nationalizing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is the same problem we have with Iraq,” Bottfeld says. “We have no exit strategy.”
The government had no choice but to act because since both enterprises handle about 50 percent of the mortgages in the country, their failure would have been devastating for the economy, Bottfeld says.
“If either of them failed, we would have a depression in 20 minutes,” Bottfeld says. “But all it is putting a Band Aid on cancer. They have to look at the way loans are done. They have not gone after the root cause.”
That means going after the appraisal industry for falsifying appraisals and Wall Street investment bankers who sold the loans to investors knowing what would happen, Bottfeld says.
The next question is what effect the takeover will have on the ongoing foreclosure crisis. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have increased payments to loan servers as a way to encourage them to help more borrowers avoid foreclosure.
Bottfeld says he expects short sales will take less time to process and foreclosures should be reduced because homeowners can get refinancing. Banks want to get rid of potential foreclosures because they have a lot of nonperforming assets on their books, Bottfeld says.
Resale home inventory
For the second week in a row, the number of resale homes posted on the Multiple Listing Service remained below 22,000, according to Applied Analysis. Sixty-five percent of the homes on the market are either vacant or occupied by a renter. Owners are living in only 35 percent of the homes.
The number of listings is down 24 percent from a year ago. Much of the drop is attributed to fewer listings of owners who live in their units. There were 7,320 homes under contract with 3,050 pending to close.
Crystal Ball housing seminar
One question haunting members of the Las Vegas real estate community on a daily basis is how to cope with hard times. That’s the theme of the Oct. 23 Crystal Ball seminar looking at the valley’s housing market.
Guest speakers will include Frederick Chin, president of Atalon Group, the takeover group that is managing financially troubled Lake Las Vegas. Other speakers are Mary Connelly, president of William Lyon Homes, Astoria’s McCormick and Mark Stark, president of Prudential Americana Realtors. Larry Murphy will focus on third-quarter housing statistics.
“Our goal was to look at problems facing all of us from the perspective of a private builder, public builder, a major developer and major Realtor,” say Bottfeld, who will moderate the event. “How these people deal with their problems teaches us how to better manage our own.”
Credits: In Business Las Vegas